Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Sevilla
28.4%
Draw
25.0%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Sevilla
vs
0.93
Alaves
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
4.0%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).