Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Valladolid
26.9%
Draw
46.6%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Valladolid
vs
1.39
Espanol
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).