Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Bastia
34.1%
Draw
27.3%
Laval
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Bastia
vs
0.67
Laval
Markets
BTTS27.0%
Over 0.579.2%
Over 1.544.0%
Over 2.519.7%
Over 3.56.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.8%
1-0
19.7%
0-1
15.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
5.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
3-0
2.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
0-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).