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05 Oct 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.8%
Ipswich
24.7%
Draw
21.5%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Ipswich

vs
1.09

Norwich

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).