Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.2%
FC Koln
9.9%
Draw
4.9%
Aalborg BK
Expected Goals (xG)
3.45
FC Koln
vs
0.83
Aalborg BK
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.593.0%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.561.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
4-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-0
5.7%
5-1
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
1-1
4.3%
3-2
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).