Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.2%
Crawley Town
26.6%
Draw
53.2%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Crawley Town
vs
1.40
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.0%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
11.5%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).