Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Portimonense
23.5%
Draw
52.2%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Portimonense
vs
1.65
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).