Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.8%
Morecambe
27.5%
Draw
45.7%
Macclesfield
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Morecambe
vs
1.28
Macclesfield
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).