Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Grimsby
25.2%
Draw
14.5%
Weymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Grimsby
vs
0.73
Weymouth
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).