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29 Dec 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.9%
Bradford
24.4%
Draw
45.7%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Bradford

vs
1.52

Stockport

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).