Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.6%
Rio Ave
24.9%
Draw
45.4%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Rio Ave
vs
1.46
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
9.0%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).