Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Carlisle
27.1%
Draw
49.0%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Carlisle
vs
1.34
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).