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10 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.6%
Huesca
26.3%
Draw
40.1%
Sociedad

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Huesca

vs
1.35

Sociedad

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).