Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Burgos
33.7%
Draw
35.8%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Burgos
vs
0.90
Elche
Markets
BTTS32.6%
Over 0.581.9%
Over 1.550.5%
Over 2.524.3%
Over 3.59.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.1%
0-1
16.5%
1-0
14.8%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
3-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).