⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 21CSV

03 Apr 2019

Parma

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.3%
Frosinone
29.0%
Draw
35.7%
Parma

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Frosinone

vs
1.08

Parma

Markets

BTTS43.4%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.7%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
11.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
0-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).