Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Parma
28.5%
Draw
35.5%
Torino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Parma
vs
1.11
Torino
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).