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04 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.6%
SK Rapid
28.7%
Draw
37.7%
Sturm Graz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

SK Rapid

vs
1.29

Sturm Graz

Markets

BTTS51.7%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.7%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).