Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.6%
Altrincham
26.9%
Draw
57.5%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Altrincham
vs
1.59
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).