Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.2%
Dorking
12.6%
Draw
81.2%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Dorking
vs
2.99
Notts County
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.572.4%
Over 3.551.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.4%
0-3
10.4%
1-2
8.0%
1-3
8.0%
0-4
7.7%
0-1
6.5%
1-4
6.0%
1-1
5.8%
0-5
4.6%
1-5
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).