Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.0%
Mainz
22.1%
Draw
12.8%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Mainz
vs
0.75
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).