Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Millwall
29.7%
Draw
34.6%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Millwall
vs
1.18
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).