Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.1%
Red Star
21.8%
Draw
23.2%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Red Star
vs
1.03
Amiens
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).