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28 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.7%
Warrington Rylands
17.0%
Draw
71.2%
Scarborough

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Warrington Rylands

vs
2.30

Scarborough

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.9%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.1%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
7.3%
0-4
5.2%
0-0
4.2%
1-4
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
2-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).