Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Valenciennes
23.9%
Draw
47.9%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Valenciennes
vs
1.49
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
11.3%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).