Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Sutton
27.4%
Draw
34.8%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Sutton
vs
1.36
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.7%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).