Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Sunderland
29.3%
Draw
24.7%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Sunderland
vs
0.94
QPR
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).