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06 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.9%
Hibernian
25.7%
Draw
21.4%
Falkirk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Hibernian

vs
0.96

Falkirk

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).