Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Deportivo Alavés
29.5%
Draw
43.9%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Deportivo Alavés
vs
1.27
Celta
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
9.9%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).