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04 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.7%
Wycombe
21.2%
Draw
17.0%
Fleetwood Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.76

Wycombe

vs
0.78

Fleetwood Town

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.8%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).