Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Valladolid
25.3%
Draw
51.4%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Valladolid
vs
1.55
Elche
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).