Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Crawley Town
28.6%
Draw
27.1%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Crawley Town
vs
0.87
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).