Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.1%
Las Palmas
21.6%
Draw
11.3%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Las Palmas
vs
0.57
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
2-0
15.1%
1-1
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
3-0
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).