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04 Jan 2025 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.0%
Laval
17.1%
Draw
71.9%
Lorient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.66

Laval

vs
2.11

Lorient

Markets

BTTS41.6%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
14.0%
0-1
14.0%
0-3
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
5.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-0
4.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
2-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).