Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Palermo
23.4%
Draw
13.8%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Palermo
vs
0.79
Spezia
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).