Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Gil Vicente
28.5%
Draw
17.3%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Gil Vicente
vs
0.71
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).