Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.2%
Man United
10.8%
Draw
5.1%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
3.42
Man United
vs
0.86
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.561.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
4-1
6.8%
5-0
5.4%
5-1
4.6%
1-1
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
3-2
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).