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03 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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85.6%
Bromsgrove Sporting
10.9%
Draw
3.5%
Vitória Guimarães

Expected Goals (xG)

2.89

Bromsgrove Sporting

vs
0.48

Vitória Guimarães

Markets

BTTS36.5%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.3%
3-0
13.8%
4-0
10.0%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
5-0
5.8%
1-1
5.2%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
3.8%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).