Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.6%
Salernitana
20.6%
Draw
61.7%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Salernitana
vs
2.01
Bologna
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
10.0%
1-1
9.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
6.7%
1-0
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).