Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Sudtirol
28.7%
Draw
16.6%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Sudtirol
vs
0.71
Bari
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).