Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.4%
Blackpool
19.7%
Draw
36.9%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Blackpool
vs
2.01
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS76.7%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.579.0%
Over 3.560.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
1-1
6.4%
3-2
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
2-3
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-3
3.6%
1-0
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).