Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Paris FC
25.1%
Draw
23.0%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Paris FC
vs
0.83
Lens
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).