Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Avellino
31.0%
Draw
31.8%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Avellino
vs
1.09
Padova
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).