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AHT: 11

18 May 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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3.2%
Inhulets
10.5%
Draw
86.2%
Shakhtar Donetsk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.41

Inhulets

vs
2.78

Shakhtar Donetsk

Markets

BTTS31.4%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
16.0%
0-3
14.8%
0-1
11.3%
0-4
10.3%
1-2
6.5%
1-3
6.0%
0-5
5.7%
1-1
4.8%
0-0
4.3%
1-4
4.2%
1-5
2.3%
1-0
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).