Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.5%
Leverkusen
21.1%
Draw
14.4%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Leverkusen
vs
0.90
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).