Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Altrincham
27.0%
Draw
22.2%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Altrincham
vs
0.98
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).