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23 Jul 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.4%
Hoddesdon Town
24.3%
Draw
56.3%
Vålerenga

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Hoddesdon Town

vs
1.65

Vålerenga

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.7%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).