Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Sociedad
21.6%
Draw
40.0%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Sociedad
vs
1.84
Santander
Markets
BTTS70.0%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.570.3%
Over 3.549.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
0-1
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).