Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Crystal Palace
26.6%
Draw
20.1%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Crystal Palace
vs
1.01
Burnley
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.8%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).