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13 Sept 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.8%
Maidstone
26.6%
Draw
47.6%
Wealdstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Maidstone

vs
1.63

Wealdstone

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).