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DHT: 11CSV

15 May 2021 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.6%
Bielefeld
25.3%
Draw
55.1%
Hoffenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Bielefeld

vs
1.73

Hoffenheim

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.0%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).